|
FICOŽ scores were
developed by Fair Isaac & Company, Inc. for each of the
credit repositories. The scores are: (Equifax) BeaconŽ, (Experian
formerly TRW) Experian/FICO and (TransUnion) EmpiricaŽ. They
are simply repository scores meaning they only consider the
information contained in a person's credit file; they do not
consider a persons income, savings or amount of a down payment
for a mortgage.
The scores were designed to assess risk. They are useful in
directing applications to specific loan programs and to set
levels of underwriting, i.e. streamline, traditional or second
review. The scores are objective, consistent, accurate and
fast.
Many people in the mortgage business are skeptical about the
accuracy of FICO scores. Scoring has only been an integral
part of the mortgage process in the past few years; however,
the scores have been in use since the 1950's by retail
merchants, credit card companies, insurance companies and
banks for consumer lending. The data from large scoring
projects emphasizes the accuracy, the predictive quality of
the scores. Large portfolios have been scored for mortgage
servicing and investment groups, and again, they demonstrate
that FICO scores work.
The scores were developed from each repository's database
using actual loan performance. A sample of over 750,000
consumers per repository was used. The repositories have each
made great strides to increase the accuracy of their
respective database through computer technology and internal
monitoring. There is a new standard reporting format for
credit grantors to use when sending electronic information to
the repositories; this is the critical first step to providing
accurate data.
The scores use a multiple scorecard design. Each repository
uses 10 individual scorecards, and the models at each
repository are the same. This increases accuracy and optimizes
the predictive variables for each subpopulation. (For example,
a borrower with two 30-day late payments will be scored
against a population with some minor delinquencies.) This
feature may cause a borrower with delinquencies to score in
the same range as a borrower without delinquencies. Scorecards
are reviewed and updated every twenty-four months.
The actual scoring process is proprietary, and the algorithms
are copyrighted. We can share the predictive variables, the
portion of the credit file considered and the weight as
provided by Fair Isaac. They are:
-
Previous
credit performance (35%)
-- Trade line information specific to payment history
-
Current
level of indebtedness (30%)
-- Current balance compared to the high credit
-
Time credit
has been in use (15%)
-- Opening date
-
Types of
credit available (15%)
-- Installment loans, revolving accounts, debit accounts
-
Pursuit of
new credit (less than 5%)
-- Inquiries
FICO has changed the way it factors credit checks,
inquiries. These changes should minimize the
"negative" effects that aggressive rate shopping
or the normal mortgage process can have on a mortgage
applicant. In the new Beacon version, the deduping process
has been expanded beyond seven days. One variable counts
the number of days within 365 days of scoring. If there
has not been an inquiry, the deduping mechanism is not
activated. If there is a consumer originated inquiry
within the past 365 days from mortgage or auto related
industries, these inquiries are ignored for the first 30
calendar days from scoring; then, multiple inquiries
within the next 14 days are counted as one. Each inquiry
will still appear on the credit report.
Scores should not change significantly because the
variable in the model using inquiries contributes less
than 5% of the predictive power of the model. According to
Equifax statisticians, an average of 5% of the credit
reports in the Equifax consumer credit reporting database
(over 200 million consumer files) will see a change in
score due to this. Fewer than 5% of those will see a
change significant enough to effect a loan decision.
In order to get a score a borrower must have the following
conditions in his/her file:
-
No
"Deceased" indicator on the credit file
-
At least one
undisputed trade line that has been updated in the last
six months
-
One trade
line open at least six months
Scores range from 350 (high risk) to 950 (low risk). A
scorecard of 660 will be 660 on Beacon 96, Empirica and
Experian/FICO if the data on each file is the same.
However, each repository is likely to contain different
data.
Every score is accompanied by a maximum of four reason
codes. Reason codes identify the most significant reason
that a consumer did not score higher. They are not red
flags. Consumers with scores in the 800 range get reason
codes just as consumers with scores in the 500 range. The
reason codes may be used in describing to the consumer the
reason for adverse action. Scores are not part of the
credit file and are not covered by the Fair Credit
Reporting Act. Scores, if disclosed to the consumer, must
be related to the credit file - using the reason codes -
since the score has no meaning in itself; the meaning or
risk level is assigned by the lender and the investor.
When applicants have erroneous information reported,
document the inaccuracies. The easiest way to do that is
to have your credit-reporting agency upgrade the merged
in-file to an edited mid-range report or to a Residential
Mortgage Credit Report. With the upgraded report, you can
ignore the score! The file will have to be handled in a
traditional manner for underwriting and investment
purposes. The developed report will provide the paper
trail that investors want.
|